The strategic objective of the project is to provide the Commission and the member states with
coherent guidelines and recommendations to optimise the future nature of electricity provision and
the electricity generation mix in Europe so as to guarantee a sustainable electricity supply system.
A first concrete objective is to make a review of the current electricity provision and the
regulatory framework in the EU-25 countries. Further objectives are to define a sustainability
ramework, to figure out a reasonable evolution of demand of electricity and to make an analysis of
electricity generation technology in order to optimise the electricity provision from a total social
cost perspective. Though the horizon is 2030, a high degree of realism has to be ensured and the
projected electricity system has to be compatible with the liberalised markets and guarantee a solid
security of supply.
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Description of Work
To realise the objectives a group of high-level energy scientists from all over Europe work
together with the electric industry, and other stakeholders through a Consultative Committee. The
project entails a major effort of reviewing and evaluating existing studies and publications,
carefully complemented with the project participants own expertise and views.
The methodology used mixes two directions of analysis. In a first (horizontal) one, the existing
electricity systems of the 25 EU countries are analysed and national policy choices and future
projections are studied. Next, vertically then, a subject-wise treatment is considered, whereby
both the demand side as well as the supply side technologies and system integration are treated.
Furthermore, the regulatory and liberalised market framework for an integrated European electricity
market is carefully examined and appraised. Based on these analyses, it is then in a combined
approach attempted to summarise the 'static' overall social cost (private cost plus external cost)
for electricity generation. Subsequently, these cost figures are used as input in carefully screened
simulation models in order to perform some well-defined and contrasting scenarios, but in line with
the regulatory framework of the energy market. From these results, it must be possible to obtain
the 'most optimal solution' (from an economic-effectiveness point of view -including environmental
burdens) for the electricity provision in Europe.
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The expected results draw conclusions on the possible future of electricity demand and supply
in Europe, well embedded in a properly functioning liberalised electricity market. A possible most
optimal mix for electricity generation, compatible with existing EU directives, regulation and
guidelines, will emerge from the simulations. Clearly, by relaxing the boundary conditions, the
results have a potential impact on EU legislation and policy in the energy field. The coordination
and exchange of information amongst organisations from different member states, is an EU added value.
A website, an international information seminar and well-readable documents serve to disseminate
the progress and the final results of the project.
Download the complete Description of Work:
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